Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.036876 0.040106 0.043355 0.046859 0.050528 0.054248 0.058301
2025-11-30 0.032436 0.037301 0.042347 0.047948 0.053970 0.060227 0.067200
2025-12-07 0.028810 0.034846 0.041282 0.048602 0.056646 0.065169 0.074836
2025-12-14 0.025601 0.032472 0.039987 0.048723 0.058507 0.069045 0.081173
2025-12-21 0.023635 0.031258 0.039782 0.049872 0.061351 0.073879 0.088462
2025-12-28 0.020859 0.028867 0.038037 0.049099 0.061884 0.076020 0.092663
2026-01-04 0.019026 0.027433 0.037262 0.049316 0.063435 0.079218 0.097969
2026-01-11 0.017684 0.026480 0.036960 0.049999 0.065451 0.082886 0.103761
2026-01-18 0.016476 0.025595 0.036662 0.050620 0.067340 0.086366 0.109308
2026-01-25 0.014291 0.023319 0.034541 0.048945 0.066434 0.086546 0.111005
2026-02-01 0.012862 0.021929 0.033438 0.048432 0.066847 0.088207 0.114367
2026-02-08 0.011702 0.020818 0.032624 0.048221 0.067575 0.090202 0.118088
2026-02-15 0.011249 0.020676 0.033068 0.049609 0.070291 0.094608 0.124711
2026-02-22 0.010707 0.020371 0.033279 0.050691 0.072632 0.098577 0.130841
2026-03-01 0.010046 0.019850 0.033173 0.051348 0.074435 0.101898 0.136209
2026-03-08 0.009243 0.019066 0.032673 0.051464 0.075544 0.104370 0.140562
2026-03-15 0.008873 0.018906 0.033003 0.052647 0.077980 0.108444 0.146826
2026-03-22 0.007878 0.017713 0.031854 0.051846 0.077885 0.109421 0.149369
2026-03-29 0.007285 0.017109 0.031498 0.052070 0.079068 0.111943 0.153757
2026-04-05 0.006881 0.016783 0.031515 0.052775 0.080853 0.115195 0.159022
2026-04-12 0.006488 0.016444 0.031494 0.053416 0.082548 0.118332 0.164148
2026-04-19 0.005486 0.014981 0.029771 0.051686 0.081139 0.117599 0.164550
2026-04-26 0.004878 0.014152 0.028946 0.051157 0.081263 0.118749 0.167231